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Results of Our Ongoing Research
These pages, marked with GREEN headings, are published for comment and criticism. These are not our final findings; some of these opinions will probably change. LOG OF UPDATES
CRN Research: Overview of Current Findings
Benefits of Molecular Manufacturing
Overview: Molecular manufacturing (MM) can solve many of the world's
current problems. For example, water shortage is a serious and growing problem.
Most water is used for industry and agriculture; both of these requirements
would be greatly reduced by products made by molecular manufacturing. Infectious
disease is a continuing scourge in many parts of the world. Simple products
like pipes, filters, and mosquito nets can greatly reduce this problem. Information
and communication are valuable, but lacking in many places. Computers and
display devices would become stunningly cheap. Electrical power is still not
available in many areas. The efficient, cheap building of light, strong structures,
electrical equipment, and power storage devices would allow the use of solar
thermal power as a primary and abundant energy source. Environmental degradation
is a serious problem worldwide. High-tech products can allow people to live
with much less environmental impact. Many areas of the world cannot rapidly
bootstrap a 20th century manufacturing infrastructure. Molecular manufacturing
technology can be self-contained and clean; a single packing crate or suitcase
could contain all equipment required for a village-scale industrial revolution.
Finally, MM will provide cheap and advanced equipment for medical research
and health care, making improved medicine widely available. Much social unrest
can be traced directly to material poverty, ill health, and ignorance. MM
can contribute to great reductions in all of these problems, and in the associated
human suffering.
Advanced nanotech can solve many human problems.
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Technology is not a panacea. However, it can be extremely useful in solving
many kinds of problems. Improved housing and plumbing will increase health.
More efficient agriculture and industry save water, land, materials, and
labor, and reduce pollution. Access to information, education, and communication
provides many opportunities for self improvement, economic efficiency, and
participatory government. Cheap, reliable power is vital for the use of
other technologies and provides many conveniences. Today, technology relies
on distributed manufacturing, which requires many specialized materials
and machines and highly trained labor. It is a difficult and slow process
to develop an adequate technology base in an impoverished area. However,
molecular manufacturing does not require skilled labor or a large supporting
infrastructure; a single personal nanofactory (PN) with a single chemical
supply and power supply can produce a wide range of useful, reliable products,
including copies of itself to double the manufacturing infrastructure in
hours, if desired. Thus PNs, and many of their products, are "appropriate
technology" for almost any setting.
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Many diverse problems are related to water.
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A few basic problems create vast amounts of suffering and tragedy. According
to a World Bank document, water is a major concern of the U.N. Almost
half the world's population lacks access to basic sanitation, and almost
1.5 billion have no access to clean water. Of the water used in the
world, 67% is used for agriculture, and another 19% for industry. Residential
use accounts for less than 9%. Much industry can be directly replaced
by molecular manufacturing. Agriculture can be moved into greenhouses.
Residential water can be treated and recycled. Adoption of these steps
could reduce water consumption by at least 50%, and probably 90%. Water-related
diseases kill thousands, perhaps tens of thousands, of children each
day. This is entirely preventable with basic technology, cheap to manufacture—if
the factories are cheap and portable. MNT can provide similar opportunities
in many other areas.
Much water today is wasted because it is almost but not entirely pure.
Simple, reliable mechanical and electrical treatment technologies can
recover brackish or tainted water for agricultural or even domestic use.
These technologies require only initial manufacturing and a modest power
supply. Physical filters with nanometer-scale pores can remove 100% of
bacteria, viruses, and even prions. An electrical separation technology
that attracts ions to supercapacitor plates can remove salts and heavy
metals. The ability to recycle water from any source for any use can save
huge amounts of water, and allow the use of presently unusable water resources.
It can also eliminate downstream pollution; a completely effective water
filter also permits the generation of quite "dirty" waste
streams from agricultural and industrial operations. As long as the waste
is contained, it can be filtered, concentrated, and perhaps even purified
and used profitably. As with anything built by molecular nanotechnology,
initial manufacturing costs for a water treatment system would be extremely
low. Power will be cheap (see below). Well-structured filter materials
and smaller actuators will allow even the smallest filter elements to
be self-monitoring and self-cleaning. Self-contained, small, completely
automated filter units can be integrated in systems scalable over a wide
range.
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Cheap greenhouses can save water, land, and food.
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Moving agriculture into greenhouses can recover most of the water used,
by dehumidifying the exhaust air and treating and re-using runoff. Additionally,
greenhouse agriculture requires less labor and far less land area than
open-field agriculture, and provides greater independence from weather
conditions including seasonal variations and droughts. Greenhouses, with
or without thermal insulation, would be extremely cheap to build with
nanotechnology. A large-scale move to greenhouse agriculture would reduce
water use, land use, and weather-related food shortages.
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Nanotech makes solar energy feasible.
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The main source of power today is the burning of carbon-containing fuels.
This is generally inefficient, frequently non-renewable, and dumps carbon
dioxide and other waste products (including radioactive substances from
coal) into the atmosphere. Solar energy would be feasible in most areas
of the globe if manufacturing and land were sufficiently cheap and energy
storage were sufficiently effective. Solar electricity generation depends
on either photovoltaic conversion, or concentrating direct sunlight. The
former works, although with reduced efficiency, on cloudy days; the latter
can be accomplished without semiconductors. In either case, not much material
is required, and mechanical designs can be made simple and fairly easy
to maintain. Sun-tracking designs can benefit from cheap computers and
compact actuators. Energy can be stored efficiently for several days in
relatively large flywheels built of thin diamond and weighted with water.
Smaller energy storage systems can be built with diamond springs, providing
a power density similar to chemical fuel storage and much higher than
today's batteries. Water electrolysis and recombination provide scalable,
storable, transportable energy. However, there is some cost in efficiency
and in complexity of technology to deal safely with large-scale hydrogen
storage or transportation.
Solar solutions can be implemented on an individual, village, or national
scale. The energy of direct sunlight is approximately 1 kW per square
meter. Dividing that by 10 to account for nighttime, cloudy days, and
system inefficiencies, present-day American power demands (about 10 kW
per person) would require about 100 square meters of collector surface
per person. Multiplying this figure by a population of 325 million (estimated
by the US Census Bureau for 2020) yields a requirement for approximately
12,500 square miles of area to be covered with solar collectors. This
represents 0.35% of total US land surface area. Much of this could be
implemented on rooftops, and conceivably even on road surfaces.
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Living spaces can be greatly improved.
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A person's living space has a significant effect on their quality of life.
The ability to exclude insects will greatly reduce certain diseases. Thermal
insulation can increase comfort and often reduce energy consumption. Water
and sewage piping and fixtures increase sanitation and decrease disease.
House styles are as varied as cultures, and living spaces cannot and should
not be standardized worldwide. However, building supplies and home systems
(e.g. power, plumbing) require less diversity, and useful components may
be built from predesigned plans. In many areas of the world, something
as simple as a water filter or a mosquito net can save many lives. Such
small, simple products would cost almost nothing to produce. In areas
that already use rectilinear apartment construction, including most inner
cities, double-layer, vacuum-insulated wall panels can greatly decrease
noise transmission between adjacent living spaces as well as providing
excellent thermal insulation. Living space reform cannot be approached
as a single problem with an easy solution, but the worst problems can
easily be addressed piecemeal.
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Computers will be cheap enough for everyone.
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Molecular manufacturing can create computer logic gates a few nanometers
on a side, and efficient enough to be stacked in 3D. An entire supercomputer
can fit into a cubic millimeter, and cost a small fraction of a cent.
With actuators smaller than a bacterium, a thin, high-resolution computer
display will be easy (and cheap) to build. With GHz mechanical frequencies,
a mostly-mechanical device can sense and produce radio waves. Thus computation,
communication, and display are all feasible with pure diamondoid technology.
Computers, PDAs, and cell phones can be cheap enough for even the poorest
people on earth to own one, and contain more than enough processing capability
for a voice interface for illiterate people. Distributed networking hardware
can likewise be very cheap, and distributed networking software, though
not trivial, is already being developed. The whole world could get "wired" within
a year.
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Nanotech can help the environment.
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Environmental degradation is a serious problem with many sources and causes.
One of the biggest causes is farming. Greenhouses can greatly reduce water
use, land use, runoff, and topsoil loss. Mining is another serious problem.
When most structure and function can be built out of carbon and hydrogen,
there will be far less use for minerals, and mining operations can be
mostly shut down. Manufacturing technologies that pollute can also be
scaled back. In general, improved technology allows operations that pollute
to be more compact and contained, and cheap manufacturing allows improvements
to be deployed rapidly at low cost. Storable solar energy will reduce
ash, soot, hydrocarbon, NOx, and CO2 emissions, as well as oil spills.
In most cases, there will be strong economic incentives to adopt newer,
more efficient technologies as rapidly as possible. Even in areas that
currently do not have a technological infrastructure, self-contained molecular
manufacturing will allow the rapid deployment of environment-friendly
technology.
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Improved medicine can be widely available. (More)
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Molecular manufacturing will impact the practice of medicine in many ways.
Medicine is highly complex, so it will take some time for the full benefits
to be achieved, but many benefits will occur almost immediately. The tools
of medicine will become cheaper and more powerful. Research and diagnosis
will be far more efficient, allowing rapid response to new diseases, including
engineered diseases. Small, cheap, numerous sensors, computers, and other
implantable devices may allow continuous health monitoring and semi-automated
treatment. Several new kinds of treatment will become possible. As the
practice of medicine becomes cheaper and less uncertain, it can become
available to more people.
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Removing causes of distress may reduce social unrest.
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Much social unrest can be traced directly to material poverty, ill health,
and ignorance. Molecular manufacturing can eliminate material poverty—at
least by today's standards; post-MM standards may be considerably higher.
Products of molecular manufacturing can greatly improve health by eliminating
conditions that cause disease, including poor sanitation, insects, and
malnutrition. Widespread availability of computers and communication devices
can provide exposure to other cultures and diverse points of view, and
create an understanding of a broader social context in which to evaluate
actions and beliefs. (Unfortunately, mass communication also gives demagogues
a wider audience, which may undo some of this benefit.) MM certainly
will not cure or prevent social unrest, but it will remove many tangible
causes of distress.
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DEVIL'S ADVOCATE —
So you're going to give away all this technology for free? What are you,
communists?
No. We've thought hard about how to preserve intellectual property rights
and the capitalist system, while providing basic lifesaving benefits to people
who can't afford to purchase them. See A
Solution that Benefits Everyone for details.
What about governments that want to keep their people poor?
This is a clear violation of human rights. CRN hopes that blatantly abusive
governments would quickly be replaced in a post-MM world. World action on
this issue has often been inadequate, but the benefits of MM should bring
the issue into clearer focus, increasing both the desire and the ability to
correct large-scale human rights violations, including deliberate impoverishment.
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Inform your communities
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